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Some Fed officials conflicted on mortgage-buying program

Some Federal Reserve policymakers last month were conflicted over whether to expand or cut back a program intended to drive down mortgage rates and bolster the housing market, according to a document released Wednesday.

Minutes of the Fed's closed-door meeting on Dec. 15-16 revealed that a "few members" thought that the Fed's $1.25 trillion program to buy mortgage securities from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac might need to be expanded and extended beyond its current end date of March 31. Such an additional dose of stimulus would be especially needed if the economic recovery were to weaken, they argued.

However, one member thought the program could be "scaled back" given the improvement in economic and financial conditions.

The debate over the future of the program comes amid uncertainties about the vigor of the budding economic recovery.

At the December meeting, Fed policymakers decided not to make any changes to the program. At their September meeting, they opted to slow the pace of the purchases, wrapping them up by the end of March, rather than the end of 2009.

The minutes don't identify speakers by name but seeks to provide a more detailed account of the Fed's private discussions.

Some Fed officials remained concerned about the economy's ability to mount a self-sustaining recovery once government supports are removed. To that end, those officials worried that improvements seen in the housing market might be "undercut" this year as the Fed's mortgage-buying program winds down, the government's home buyer tax credits expire at the end of April and home foreclosures grow.

Getting the housing market back on firm footing is a key ingredient to a lasting recovery. The collapse of the housing market, which dragged down home prices with it, was the catalyst for the longest and worst recession to hit the country since the 1930s.

"Generally the outlook was for gains in housing activity to continue. However, some participants still viewed the improved outlook as quite tentative and again pointed to potential sources of softness," the minutes said.

To nurture the recovery, the Fed at the December meeting kept its key bank lending rate at a record low near zero and pledged to hold it there for an "extended period." The goal: low interest rates will entice people and businesses to boost spending, which will fuel economic growth.

RATES REMAIN NEAR ZERO: Fed left rates unchanged at Dec. meeting

Economists said the Fed is all but certain to leave rates at record lows at its next meeting on Jan. 26-27 and probably for a good chunk of this year.

"Overall, there is nothing here to suggest that interest rates will rise for quite some time," Paul Ashworth, economist at Capital Economics., said of the Fed minutes. Ashworth is among the economists predicting economic growth will slow in the second half of this year as President Barack Obama's $787 billion stimulus package of tax cuts and increased government spending fades.

Most Fed officials don't currently see inflation as a problem because companies have "little ability to raise their prices" in the fragile economic environment. But they had mixed views about inflation risks.

Some noted that rising prices of oil and other commodities could boost inflation pressures down the road. Others thought investors' expectations of inflation could edge up because of large federal government budget deficits and vast sums of money the Fed pumped into the economy to fight the financial crisis.

However, others predicted that the sluggish recovery and "slack" in the economy - meaning factories operating well below capacity and the weak labor market - would keep inflation under wraps.

At the December meeting, Fed staff gave several presentations on research into "inflation dynamics."

The biggest challenge facing Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues is to decide when to start boosting interest rates. Moving too soon could short-circuit the recovery. Waiting too long could unleash inflation.

Benchmark Mortgage Boise Idaho

 

 

 

 

Call us with any questions you have relating to residential mortgages (208) 287-1717, we are always very happy to help. We specialize in home loans for first time home buyers, move up buyers, second home purchases, and resort lending. The loan products available to my clients include FHA, IHFA, VA, Conforming Conventional, Jumbo and Super Jumbo Portfolio.

Our primary markets are Ada County (Boise, Eagle, Meridian, Kuna, Star), Canyon County (Nampa, Caldwell, Middleton), and Valley County (Cascade, Donnelly. Tamarack, McCall).

0 commentsDean Tucker (Mortgage Banker) • January 12 2010 04:04PM

Fed makes record $46B profit in 2009

The Federal Reserve made a record profit of $46.1 billion last year, reflecting money made off its extraordinary efforts to rescue the U.S. from the worst economic and financial crisis since the 1930s, the central bank announced Tuesday.

The windfall gets turned over to the Treasury Department.

It marks the biggest profit on record dating back to 1914 when the Fed was created. The previous record profit - of $34.6 billion - was registered in 2007. In 2008, the Fed reported a profit of $31.7 billion.

The Fed says the bigger profit was primarily due to increased income from the securities it held last year.

Such income went up as the Fed's holdings of securities mushroomed.

The Fed launched several securities-buying programs last year to help revive the economy. Its goal is to drive down rates on mortgages and other consumer debt.

Under one program that ended last year, the Fed snapped up $300 billion worth of government debt. Under another program, the Fed is on track to buy $1.25 trillion in mortgage securities from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and an additional $175 billion in debt issued by the mortgage giants. Those programs have boosted the value of securities held by the Fed.

The Fed faces a risk, however. The Fed could lose money if the central bank had to sell those securities and their prices were to fall. The Fed might need to sell the securities to sop up some of the unprecendented amount of money pumped into the economy during the crisis.

The Fed is funded from the interest earned on its vast portfolio of securities. It is not funded by Congress.

After covering its expenses, the Fed gives what is left over to the Treasury Department.

Benchmark Mortgage Boise Idaho

 

 

 

 

Call us with any questions you have relating to residential mortgages (208) 287-1717, we are always very happy to help. We specialize in home loans for first time home buyers, move up buyers, second home purchases, and resort lending. The loan products available to my clients include FHA, IHFA, VA, Conforming Conventional, Jumbo and Super Jumbo Portfolio.

Our primary markets are Ada County (Boise, Eagle, Meridian, Kuna, Star), Canyon County (Nampa, Caldwell, Middleton), and Valley County (Cascade, Donnelly. Tamarack, McCall).

4 commentsDean Tucker (Mortgage Banker) • January 12 2010 03:52PM